Relativity statistical analysis was conducted between the real data and the forecasting data of dangshansu pear scab , which show the method is more super and more valid than the current method in efficiency and precision of forecast the occurrence tendency of dangshansu pear scab 結(jié)果表明在對(duì)酥梨的黑星病預(yù)測(cè)上,該方法與現(xiàn)有方法相比,在擬合度、推理效率和準(zhǔn)確率上具有顯著的優(yōu)勢(shì)。