Utility model analysis on employment of the graduate of university 高校畢業(yè)生擇業(yè)問題效用模型分析
New decision criteria based on the multi - prior expected utility model 基于多先驗(yàn)期望效用模型的新的決策準(zhǔn)則
Finally , the text applies house utility model to obtain the optimum housing demand and production structure mode that matches up to inhabitants income , also rational explain a surprising phenomenon appearing housing market presently at the end of the text 最后,本文通過住房效用模型得出了與居民收入相匹配的最優(yōu)住房需求與生產(chǎn)結(jié)構(gòu)模式,并且在文章結(jié)尾對(duì)目前住房市場(chǎng)上出現(xiàn)的一種奇怪現(xiàn)象給予了合理的解釋。
In the chapter three , after making a comparison with three standards of the optimum capital structure , i lead utility function into the method of maximum income - equity rate and establish the risk - utility model with the base of present of capital structure . at the same time , i take a sample analysis on wugang stock 第三章在比較分析了目前流行的衡量最佳資本結(jié)構(gòu)的三種標(biāo)準(zhǔn)后,筆者結(jié)合我國(guó)上市公司資本結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀,引入效用函數(shù),對(duì)權(quán)益收益率最大法進(jìn)行了改進(jìn),提出了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)效用模型,并進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。
Chapter 2 , based on the concepts of cooperative science , the connotation of nccc is interpreted . by means of the principle of system science , cooperative effect and cooperative symbiosis of enterprises commerce chain are analyzed thoroughly . based on the idea of cooperative game competition , the relations between competition and cooperation among enterprises are analyzed 論文第二章,在協(xié)同學(xué)思想的前提下,對(duì)網(wǎng)絡(luò)協(xié)同商務(wù)鏈的內(nèi)涵進(jìn)行了闡釋;運(yùn)用系統(tǒng)學(xué)原理,對(duì)企業(yè)商務(wù)鏈的協(xié)同效應(yīng)和協(xié)同共生進(jìn)行了深入剖析,基于協(xié)調(diào)博弈的思路分析了企業(yè)間相互競(jìng)爭(zhēng)與合作的關(guān)系;從控制論的角度論述了網(wǎng)絡(luò)協(xié)同商務(wù)鏈的正反饋機(jī)制;在此基礎(chǔ)之上,采用信息經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)的效用模型,闡述了網(wǎng)絡(luò)協(xié)同商務(wù)鏈的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)。
Through the study of engineering contract of the project construction , the causes of claim are made clear . the game theory model of employer ' s claim is further set up . the avail model which is concerned with the change of their contract positions by claim is raised 通過對(duì)工程合同交易過程的研究,揭示了索賠發(fā)生的內(nèi)在原因;給出了業(yè)主索賠管理的博弈論模型;提出了由于索賠導(dǎo)致雙方合同地位變化的效用模型,從理論上成功地解釋了目前工程界普遍存在的“中標(biāo)靠低價(jià),盈利靠索賠”的現(xiàn)象。
Then , the crisis utility model for individual decision - making is established in the former theory framework . individual behavior of blindly conforming to the norm in public crisis is analyzed with the model by costs and benefits analyzing method and evolutionary game theory . the mechanism of formation of individual behavior of blindly conforming to the norm is explained descriptively , which proves that individual behavior of blindly conforming to the norm is the result of both individual crisis ability and external information 在搜集大量關(guān)于sars危機(jī)資料的基礎(chǔ)上,形成了基于前景理論的公共危機(jī)中個(gè)體決策行為研究的理論框架,并在此基礎(chǔ)上構(gòu)建出個(gè)體決策行為的危機(jī)效用模型,通過成本收益分析法、演進(jìn)博弈論分析工具將該模型用于分析公共危機(jī)中個(gè)體的從眾行為,描述性地解釋了個(gè)體從眾行為的形成機(jī)理,從而說明了個(gè)體的從眾行為是個(gè)體的危機(jī)素質(zhì)因素和客觀信息因素的共同作用的結(jié)果。
Chapter 5 analyzes the farmers " behavior . it explains the character and the influencing factors of the farmers " behavior using the von newman morgenstern utility model to analyze to the individual , it could be concluded that the farmers " ai behavior are influenced by many factors and it need joint work to ensure the farmer to attend the ai . chapter 6 analyzes the government " behavior by the economic way 第五章對(duì)農(nóng)民的行為進(jìn)行了經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)分析,運(yùn)用了經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中的基本假設(shè),分析了農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)中農(nóng)民行為的特點(diǎn)和影響農(nóng)民行為的因素,通過馮?諾曼?摩根斯頓效用模型,對(duì)單個(gè)農(nóng)民進(jìn)行模擬分析后得出的理論結(jié)果與現(xiàn)實(shí)農(nóng)民的行為不一致,從而得出結(jié)論:農(nóng)民的農(nóng)業(yè)保險(xiǎn)行為受多種因素的影響,要保證農(nóng)民的投保,是需要多方共同努力才能完成的。
Results of the analysis on the model of the effect of the " contract breaching " actions indicate that the strengthening of the penalty against the " contract breaching " transaction actions , enhancement of the possibility for revealing and effecting the penalty of the " contract breaching " actions , reduction of the probability for the trader to choose the " contract breaching " actions to earn , and the higher credit reconstruction cost may exert an inhibition effect on the " contract breaching " actions in the credit transaction 摘要對(duì)“違約”行為效用模型分析的結(jié)果表明:加大對(duì)“違約”交易行為的懲罰力度、提高發(fā)現(xiàn)以及對(duì)“違約”行為實(shí)施懲罰的可能性、降低交易者選擇“違約”行為收益的概率、較大的信用重構(gòu)成本,可以對(duì)信用交易中的“違約”行為產(chǎn)生抑制作用。
New developments in decision theory , artificial theory and dynamic analysis method are applied to evaluation the possible projects . the main contents in this paper are included as follows : first , has improved an format reasoning method based on multiple attribute utility model and knowledgebase theory ; second , has proposed complex utility model by improving the theory of multiple attribute utility ; third , has presented a kind of weapon intelligent decision support system , based on the complex utility model and developed with com / dcom criterion ; forth , this paper also has build the dynamic simulation model for long - rang multiple tube rocket launcher system , and the tire dynamic model has applied in the rocket launcher system dynamic simulation model ; fifth , through building the rocket - launcher contact model , this paper has analyzed the dynamic forces between the rocket and launcher ; finally , this paper has build the evaluation model of the project about improving existing rocket launcher to the launcher that using canister , and get the conclusion through using the widss . the studies in this paper not only proposed scientific warrant to the choice of projects in this pre - studied national defense task about improving existing rocket launcher to the launcher that using canister , but also can give other studied tasks with decision supported 主要內(nèi)容包括:在總結(jié)決策分析與專家系統(tǒng)規(guī)則庫(kù)技術(shù)的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了融決策分析與專家系統(tǒng)規(guī)則庫(kù)技術(shù)于一體的形式化推理機(jī)制,該機(jī)制能有效的將定量計(jì)算和定性知識(shí)融為一體,將規(guī)范的決策分析解題過程與專家系統(tǒng)特有的演化推理方法有機(jī)結(jié)合起來;在多屬性效用理論的基礎(chǔ)上,建立了一般形式的復(fù)式效用模型,并實(shí)用化了全相關(guān)乘式效用模型,提供了較完善的通用建模、分析和解釋功能:引入了com dcom組件技術(shù),開發(fā)了基于組件的widss系統(tǒng),該系統(tǒng)基于形式化推理機(jī)制,易于擴(kuò)展,能夠面向多種決策問題,具有較強(qiáng)的通用性;建立了遠(yuǎn)程多管火箭炮全炮動(dòng)力學(xué)仿真模型,將充氣輪胎動(dòng)力學(xué)模型、輪胎和路面的相互作用模型運(yùn)用于多管火箭炮動(dòng)力學(xué)仿真計(jì)算中;利用碰撞接觸理論,對(duì)火箭彈在定向器管內(nèi)的運(yùn)動(dòng)受力情況進(jìn)行了仿真計(jì)算;建立了遠(yuǎn)程多管火箭炮箱式發(fā)射改進(jìn)方案模型,并利用動(dòng)力學(xué)仿真計(jì)算結(jié)果在widss系統(tǒng)中進(jìn)行了方案性能評(píng)估。